Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.855096 54.926927 61.255039 68.325037 75.985818 84.018722 93.061081
2024-10-20 38.859599 47.632810 57.346676 68.821310 81.925098 96.343652 113.327096
2024-10-27 31.992650 41.794410 53.132299 67.057281 83.535084 102.250336 124.945218
2024-11-03 29.085160 40.010282 53.096963 69.665096 89.809095 113.236461 142.257749
2024-11-10 26.261076 37.900341 52.296212 71.025173 94.346514 122.031440 156.957670
2024-11-17 23.340632 35.311102 50.583995 70.975849 96.941352 128.353938 168.645971
2024-11-24 21.950677 34.554152 51.056615 73.562972 102.742026 138.578393 185.149823
2024-12-01 19.746404 32.459633 49.577082 73.453771 104.998428 144.348627 196.176045
2024-12-08 17.543860 30.148877 47.607958 72.514084 106.034206 148.486801 205.125853
2024-12-15 15.921268 28.520116 46.433103 72.513592 108.202592 154.013585 215.830323
2024-12-22 14.484688 27.031973 45.333044 72.506567 110.282992 159.390129 226.359255
2024-12-29 13.990279 26.948793 46.222455 75.267125 116.123768 169.734494 243.416466
2025-01-05 12.974103 25.981032 45.791493 76.180647 119.531917 177.047416 256.820249
2025-01-12 11.957104 24.924586 45.160080 76.762605 122.479324 183.798813 269.612934
2025-01-19 10.464348 22.913616 42.920445 74.841677 121.787291 185.563798 275.749237
2025-01-26 10.166216 22.949187 43.865508 77.671867 127.882348 196.612372 294.399859
2025-02-02 9.604974 22.459269 43.930709 79.146304 132.032633 205.040092 309.623495
2025-02-09 8.789670 21.422852 43.038367 79.092866 133.927474 210.352477 320.674595
2025-02-16 8.574660 21.499733 43.977671 81.896331 140.052103 221.619677 339.960182
2025-02-23 7.855109 20.528124 43.092953 81.778039 141.820244 226.787783 350.936743
2025-03-02 7.051248 19.302296 41.691997 80.759974 142.182600 229.939507 359.136828
2025-03-09 6.477427 18.487339 40.951038 80.759441 144.050612 235.226974 370.331931
2025-03-16 5.950460 17.714380 40.232900 80.751830 145.880992 240.460238 381.488467